2012 Election: Republican Primary November 11, 2011


Right now, the race is for 2nd place.  Until we’re down to two, I don’t think that we’ll have a clear idea of who’s gonna win this thing.  Some time ago, I predicted that Perry would fade as well as Cain.  While I think that I’ve been proven right, Cain has continued to surprise me.  Except for this most recent scandal, he’s been rising in the polls and rising pretty quick.  However, the scandal did hit and he’s suffered.

My biggest prediction was that Gingrich would be the contender to take on Romney.  I think Gingrich is the smartest guy on the stage, has a history of getting things done and just speaks with a confidence that will set people at ease.  He’s clear, he’s concise and he just talks common sense.

I think that my prediction is playing out:

Newt Gingrich has jumped to second place and Herman Cain has dropped to third among Republican voters’ preferences for which candidate should win the GOP presidential nomination, according to a new poll.

According to the McClatchy-Marist Poll, Mitt Romney leads the Republican pack with 23 percent. Gingrich is next with 19 percent, followed by Cain with 17 percent.

It’s time for the pretenders to bow out.  I suppose they’ll work towards the first round of primaries, and that might be fair, but the sooner we can weed out the lower tier candidates, the better off we’ll be.

By the way, for fun, check this out:

 

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4 comments
  1. I thought that Perry would get schooled up on debating with his consultants and maybe make a comeback. I seem to be wrong. I think Cain could still make it through the primaries even with the charges. I’m not sure conservatives care much about such claims, unless they can be more than he said, she said. I think it might matter more in the general election though.

    • pino said:

      I think Cain could still make it through the primaries even with the charges. I’m not sure conservatives care much about such claims

      I agree with you. This is just momentum stumble. I happen to think that he did something, but I also feel people don’t care. Though it is interesting that for all the years Cain has been in industry the complaints against him are all in a 3 year period in ONE organization. If Cain is that “kinda guy”, you would expect to see a more wide disbursement of complaints.

  2. Good point about thinking the issue would come up more widely. Did he mostly work with men at other places though? I don’t know, I’m asking.

    Do you think the whole thing might be more of an issue in the general election than the primaries?

    • pino said:

      Did he mostly work with men at other places though? I don’t know, I’m asking.

      Interesting question. I don’t know.

      Do you think the whole thing might be more of an issue in the general election than the primaries?

      I think it could be tougher on him in the general election. I think the folks that support him are pretty conservative; he’ll keep those votes. But the moderate in the general is gonna look twice if he makes it through.

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